阿根廷VS冰岛

比赛时间：北京时间2018年6月16日 21:00

桑保利执教一年之后已经完成对球队阵型的改造，不过他们很有可能会使用4-2-3-1的首发阵型，这是他们在训练中尝试最多的阵型。球队会试图通过传控获得进攻机会，锋线上进攻天才云集。如何将机会转化为进球对于南美球队而言是一大难题，同时他们在防守上也存在短板。球队在领先的情况下不会有多大问题，一旦长时间无法打破僵局、时间紧迫或是落后时，后防线上的漏洞将被无限放大。

考虑到对手的强大进攻实力，冰岛很有可能使用4-2-3-1阵型，确保在中场能有足够的竞争力，哈尔弗雷德松将顶替前锋博瓦松回撤到中场。球队会变得更将强硬，代价是放弃了对球的掌控，他们必须给对手后防足够的压力，以确保单前锋芬博加松不会被孤立。

冰岛人不具备阿根廷人那样凭借个人技术打出流畅进攻的能力，因此他们计划将尽可能长时间专注防守，并期待能够取得一个进球，球队的主要威胁来自核心球员西于尔兹松和古德蒙德松。无论比赛进程如何，他们都将贯彻自己的战术思路，不太可能作出很大改变。

推荐：冰岛 +1.5

Argentina v IcelandKO 16/06/18 @ 1400 BST

Sampaoli has regularly changed the team’s shape during his one year in charge, but the expectation is that they'll begin in a 4-2-3-1 setup, which is the system they've been trialling most in training. They will look to control possession and attack, being top-heavy with attacking talent. Converting chances into goals was a big problem for the South American side in qualification, while they also have defensive weaknesses. They would be unlikely to alter their approach on a narrow lead, while risks would be taken if they are not ahead with time running out or if they fall behind. Considering the attacking prowess of the opposition, it is likely that Iceland pack the midfield in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Hallfreesson being used in a deeper role at the expense of one of the strikers, most likely B?evarsson. It makes the team more robust but a lot more limited in possession, putting more pressure on support from deep to ensure lone striker, Finnbogason, isn't left isolated up front.Iceland don’t possess the individual quality to match Argentina in a really open, fluid game, so the plan will be to keep things level for as long as possible with a resolute defensive effort and look to score via a set piece, which is their primary threat through key men Gylfi Siguresson and Gudmundsson. The game plan is unlikely to change regardless of game state, sticking rigidly to their principles throughout.

Selection: Iceland +1.5